COVID-19 SIMULATION Start Rates Durations Lockdown Intensity Pharmacology Plots Population (millions)65 Coarse Fine Initial no of cases7.01 Coarse Fine Initial Ro2.65 Coarse Fine Initial date Fatality rate (%)1.0 Coarse Fine Reporting rate (%)90.0 Coarse Fine Simulation length (days)800 Infection to recovery (days)6.00 Coarse Fine Infection to death (days)19±11Average Range Ro=0.82 Coarse Fine Ro=1.51 Coarse Fine Ro=1.03 Coarse Fine Ro=1.59 Coarse Fine Ro=1.02 Coarse Fine Ro=1.40 Coarse Fine Ro=2.80 Coarse Fine Ro=3.61 Coarse Fine Ro=4.71 Coarse Fine Ro=9.00 Coarse Fine Treatment fatality drop= -28% Vaccination Vaccination rate = 1.8 million/week Susceptible Infected Recovered + Vaccinated Daily deaths Cumulative deaths Hospitalizations Ro R effective New infections Options:Normal Logarithmic Raw Weekly average Your browser does not support the HTML5 canvas tag.